October weather was a mixed bag around the Florida peninsula, with many areas reporting very wet and warm conditions and other spots bucking that trend.
For example, Miami and West Palm Beach each had a warm and soggy month, while Fort Lauderdale was actually cooler than average and only a bit above average with rainfall.
Miami finished October almost a degree above average and the 12.61 inches of precipitation was 6.28 inches above normal.
West Palm Beach temperatures were about a half-degree above average and the city racked up 15.02 inches of rain in October, 9.89 inches above average. That made it the wettest month of the year in West Palm Beach.
Fort Lauderdale temperatures came in a degree below average and the month’s 7 inches of rain was only 0.18 of an inch above normal.
Naples precipitation was almost an inch below normal with 3.29 inches of rain for October and temperatures were slightly below normal.
The late-month cold snap, of course, drove monthly temperature averages down across the peninsula.
In Central Florida, Fort Pierce was close to average temperature-wise but 5.86 inches above normal with precipitation at 10.90 inches. Vero Beach racked up 9.60 inches of rain, 4.69 above average. Monthly temperatures came in right at the normal mark for the month.
But Melbourne was almost 2 degrees on the plus side and at 13.44 inches, was 8.38 above normal for October.
Orlando had close to normal temperatures for October and was a quarter-inch on the plus side in precipitation, while Daytona Beach came in 1.6 degrees above average and was wet with 7.79 inches of rain in October — 3.58 above normal.
The Keys were slightly warmer and wetter than average
Tampa finished the month 2 degrees above normal and 0.81 of an inch on the precipitation plus side, at 3.07 inches.
In North Florida, Jacksonville was at the top of the peninsula’s pack with abnormal warmth — the city came in 3.6 degrees above average but was just slightly wetter than normal.
The Climate Prediction Center is calling for a dry November in Florida but wet conditions in the Upper Midwest and West Coast. Temperatures are expected to be warmer than normal along the East Coast and southern tier of states. (Credit: NOAA/ CPC)
NOVEMBER FORECAST: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released its November forecast Tuesday. Forecasters expect above normal temperatures throughout Florida and below average precipitation. This is the first full month of the dry season, so rainfall normally drops off, but with a developing La Niña in the tropical Pacific November may be the first of many dry months to come.
TROPICS WATCH: The National Hurricane Center dropped the disturbance it had been tracking in the Central Atlantic — and said there were no systems likely to develop over the next five days.
Wednesday’s run of the GFS had a potent storm developing in the southern Caribbean a week from Monday and then spinning north or north-northeast toward Hispaniola at the end of the week.
The Canadian (CMC) had a weaker system moving through the Central Caribbean next week, but the European model (ECMWF) is not on board with this scenario.
SEASON UPDATE: As of November 1 — with 30 days left to go in the hurricane season — 2017 has been the fifth most active year on record in terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE, a measure of the strength and duration of tropical systems).
That puts 2017 behind 1893, 1926, 1933 and 2005, the National Hurricane Center said in a report published Wednesday.
Three storms formed in October and ACE for the month was 40 percent greater than the average October from 1981-2010, analysts said.