New Orleans is preparing for a direct hit from Tropical Storm Nate this weekend, possibly as a hurricane. See Tropics Watch below for more. (Credit: NWS-New Orleans)
Put away the umbrellas and get ready to crank up the A/C.
The key point in Friday’s discussion of the seven-day forecast by the National Weather Service in Miami is: “Temperatures will be warmer than average for this time of year with increased sunshine and no signs of any cold/dry air intrusion into the region.”
Forecast highs are in the mid-80s along Florida’s East Coast, but nighttime lows aren’t expected to be much below 80 degrees through the end of next week.
The end of this particular phase of the hurricane season — it’s not over, unfortunately, by any stretch of the imagination — may be accompanied by hopes and dreams of open window weather. But you would be deeply disappointed, as high pressure gives center stage to a hot Florida sun and east to southeast winds keep temperatures summertime steamy at night.
During the second week of October, normal highs and lows in Miami are 87 and 75; 86 and 73 in West Palm beach.
Actually, lows were in the mid-70s in Miami Wednesday and Thursday, but only because the area was socked with almost 4 inches of rain. Thursday’s low in West Palm Beach was 73 because a 3-inch deluge cooled the early morning air.
Some people are already calling this week’s Bahamas low the No-Name Storm, since it received scant attention from the National Hurricane Center due to its inability to achieve a closed surface circulation.
Nevertheless, the 3 inches in coastal Palm Beach was accompanied by winds gusting up to 48 mph, nothing to sneeze at. The system was off the NHC outlook map on Friday, finally out in the Gulf of Mexico.
In any event, after Tropical Storm Nate finishes its business in the Gulf this weekend, a more summer-like pattern returns to South Florida next week, according to forecasters, with sea-breeze-inspired showers over the interior and closer to the West Coast.
By Monday, rain chances on the East Coast drop to 20 percent.
Just for fun, I checked the ultra-long-range forecast from AccuWeather and it doesn’t show any sub-70-degree lows until Halloween, when the forecast low is 68 and the forecast high is 80.
Nothing to hang your hat on, but an indication of the direction in which we are ultimately headed.
TROPICS WATCH: Nate is the only game in town when it comes to the Atlantic Basin, although the low near the Azores was given a 40 percent chance of becoming a tropical or subtropical depression — or perhaps Ophelia — over the next five days.
It’s expected to meander over the deep North-Central Atlantic for the next five days, and will likely have no affect on North America.
Nate is a different story. It’s expected to reach Category 1 hurricane status before socking southeastern Louisiana early Sunday morning. Hurricane Watches have been posted for the coast of Louisiana, and Tropical Storm Watches stretch east as far as Pensacola.
A state of emergency has been declared in Louisiana the National Guard is being mobilized. A pumping system that keeps New Orleans from flooding will be continuously monitored.
Nate may not have the wind muscle of an Irma or Maria, but it will dump dangerous amounts of rainfall all the way from southeastern Louisiana north through northern Georgia and the Appalachians. NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center suggests more than 8 inches of rain will cause havoc in the mountains of Georgia, Tennessee and the Carolinas.