Fort Pierce posts record rainfall

SFL rainfall

Parts of South Florida reported 24-hour totals of up to 4 inches of rain through Sunday morning, with with isolated higher amounts the National Weather Service said. Heavies rain was reported in western suburbs of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties. (Image credit: NWS-Miami)

Saturday’s thunderstorm activity did not go unnoticed in Fort Pierce, where record rainfall was recorded with 1.54 inches. That beat the old record of 1.45 inches set in 2002, according to the National Weather Service in Melbourne.

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(Image credit: NHC)

TROPICS WATCH: Another potential tropical system may be developing in the North-Central Atlantic — thousands of miles from the actual tropics. A separte disturbance that was being tracked by the National Hurricane Center in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic fizzled out on Sunday long before it even darkened the doorway of the Lesser Antilles.

Instead, the more promising low was designated Invest 98L by the NHC at around the same latitude as Chicago. It was forecast to move southeast, over warmer water, and chances of tropical or subtropical development were upped to 20 percent by the end of the week.

Forecast models showed it moving southeast over the next three days. A few intensity models predicted weak tropical storm development.

It’s reminiscent of the origins of Hurricane Chris and Tropical Storm Debby, both of which gained steam over more northern latitudes.

Based on the late Sunday of the GFS, things look pretty clear in the Atlantic through August 28.

storm_98Forecast tracks for Invest 98. (Credit: SFWMD)

 

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Key West ties 136-year-old high temperature record; Chris makes Category 2

June state temps

HOT TOPIC: It was the third warmest June on record nationwide, behind only 1933 and 2016, NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information reported this week. The average temperature over the contiguous 48 states was 71.5 degrees, 3 degrees above the 20th century average. Florida and most of the U.S. South was much above normal. Only Maine and Vermont had below normal temperatures in June. (Image credit: NOAA/ NCEI)

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HISTORIC HIGH: Key West topped out at 94 degrees on Tuesday, tying a 136-year-old high temperature record high for the date. The last time it was that warm in Key West on July 10, Chester A. Arthur was president and Thomas Edison was busy building the country’s first electrical power plant in Manhattan. It was 1882.

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(Image credit: NHC)

Tropics Watch: Hurricane Chris became the Atlantic’s first Category 2 storm of the 2018 season late Tuesday night, and the National Hurricane Center predicted it would come within a whisker of being the first major hurricane of the year. Chris had top winds of 105 mph at 5 a.m. Wednesday and forecasters said it would top out at 110 mph late in the day Wednesday. If it reached 111 mph, it would be a major Category 3 storm.

The only land mass in its path, however, is Newfoundland, which could begin feeling the effects of Chris on Thursday afternoon.

The GFS shows nothing of note in the Atlantic through July 27, the European and Canadian models through July 21, and the NAVGEM through July 16.

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RAINFALL REPORT: The Altamonte Springs area in Seminole County was smacked with more than 3 inches of rain on Tuesday, according to the Community Collaborative Rain, Hail & Snow Network. An observer west of Orlando reported 2.09 inches.

In Broward County, an observer west of Fort Lauderdale reported 2.31 inches. An observer in Miramar reported 1.72 inches to the National Weather Service in Miami.

 

Chris becomes season’s second hurricane; Naples hits record high at 96

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UPDATE: Chris became the second hurricane of the season Tuesday with winds of 85 mph. The National Hurricane Center predicted it would become a Category 2 storm with winds of 100 mph by early Wednesday before post-tropical by Thursday. It poses no threat to U.S. land areas. (Image Credit: NHC)

With Chris headed out to sea — it may clip the eastern tip of Newfoundland on Friday — and ex-Beryl aiming for the Central Bahamas and points north, Florida weather is following its typical summertime plot line. And that means heat.

It was 96 in Naples Monday, which tied a record high originally set in 2004. The heat index in Naples was 109 degrees at 4 p.m.

Even in Key West, which often enjoys the moderating effects of ocean breezes, the heat index was 103 at 3 p.m.

Other heat index values around the peninsula: Miami, 100; Fort Lauderdale, 101; Fort Myers, 100; Punta Gorda, Gainesville and Melbourne, 99; West Palm Beach, 98 and Orlando, 95.

It doesn’t look particularly promising in terms of widespread rainfall through the rest of the week, with precipitation chances in the 20 percent range in Tampa through Friday, 30 percent in South Florida, and 20-30 percent in East-Central Florida. In the Jacksonville forecast, there’s no mention of rain at all until Friday.

Double-check those irrigation systems!

RAINFALL REPORT: Monday’s winner was in Alachua County northeast of Gainesville, where an observer for the Community Collaborative Rain, Hail & Snow Network measured 2.29 inches. An observer in Central Citrus County southeast of Crystal River measured 1.76 inches. Most areas of South Florida were dry and rainfall elsewhere was light.

TROPICS WATCH: The National Hurricane Center expects Tropical Storm Chris to become the season’s second hurricane Tuesday afternoon with winds of 80 mph. Forecasters expect it to top out as a 90-mph storm late Wednesday before transitioning into a post-tropical system late in the week over colder water.

No coastal watches or warnings were issued by the NHC. Eastern Nova Scotia had a 5-10 percent chance of getting tropical storm force winds from Chris, while the eastern tip of Newfoundland had a 60 percent chance.

As for ex-Beryl, the National Weather Service in Miami issued a statement on the system late Monday. “At this time none of the guidance and overall conditions favor the potential development of tropical wave Beryl to be a concern for South Florida despite the 50 percent chance of development as it approaches the central Bahamas, ” Pablo Santos, meteorologist in charge at the National Weather Service in Miami said.

“The potential development region remains well to our east and upper level flow pattern favors it turning north well east of us. We will continue to monitor this closely and should this perspective change we will let you know.”