RISING WATER IN KEY WEST: A Coastal Flood Advisory remained in effect for the Keys and for South Florida’s East Coast due to high tides. This photo was taken early Thursday morning. Additional photos were published on the National Weather Service’s Facebook page. (Image credit: William Churchill/ NWS-Key West)
RAINFALL REPORT: Some decent rains have been falling in the Keys and up the East Coast to around Fort Lauderdale. Areas to the north and west have gotten zip. Conditions are still as dry as they were in September.
The words “potential for heavy rain” appeared in the National Weather Service forecast discussion from Miami on Thursday morning, but that would be late next week — if it happens at all. Forecasters said confidence in that occurring is low due to “increasing variability among model solutions.”
Meanwhile, Severe Drought conditions expanded this week in the northern tier of Florida counties, the U.S. Drought Monitor reported in its latest analysis released Thursday. Abnormally Dry conditions, the precursor to full-fledged drought, have been creeping down the peninsula from the north.
Parts of Georgia and Alabama are now experiencing Extreme Drought, the second most severe category.
RECORD WATCH: Naples posted a record high temperature Wednesday with 94 degrees, breaking the old record of 92 set in 2002. Tampa tied a record high with 93.
Heat-weary Tallahassee broke another record high with 96, beating the old mark of 94 set in 1986.
TROPICS WATCH: Now that Lorenzo is post-tropical, the only game in town Thursday was the disturbance in the Caribbean, which was given a 20 percent chance of development by forecasters at the National Hurricane Center as it moves west over the Yucatan Peninsula toward the Bay of Campeche.
Forecast models show nothing of note developing over the next seven to 10 days.