Jacksonville socked with record rainfall

Hefty rainfall was reported up and down the Florida peninsula Thursday, including a 1.52-inch deluge in Jacksonville — a record for the date.

The official total at Jacksonville busted the previous rainfall record for June 28 of 1.37 inches set in 2005.

Impressive amounts were reported elsewhere, including 1.40 in Cross City and 2.27 inches in Punta Gorda.

Amounts of over 2 inches were reported by observers for the Community Collaborative Rain, Hail & Snow Network in the Tallahassee area; parts of Alachua County southwest of Gainesville; and northeastern Miami-Dade County.

An observer in Boynton Beach, in Palm Beach County, reported 3.26 inches to the National Weather Service in Miami.

Forecasters said a repeat of Thursday’s activity was expected on Friday, with more focus on interior and West Coast areas over the weekend as Saharan air noses into the Florida peninsula from the east.

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Red Tide

RED TIDE FISH KILL: Karenia brevis problems continued Friday for some West Coast beaches. The website Visitbeaches.org reported heavy concentrations of dead fish at Manasota Beach near South Venice.  Check the website for specific information, since the effects are patchy, according to the National Weather Service in Tampa. (Image credit: NWS-Tampabay)

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TROPICS WATCH: The Canadian forecast model (CMC) doesn’t get much respect for its record on tropical storm prediction. But Friday morning’s run of the model showed a low developing between Bermuda and the northwestern Bahamas on July 4. It has it moving toward the Central Florida Coast, fairly weak, by the weekend, after which it crosses the peninsula into the Gulf of Mexico.

None of the other forecast models — including the GFS and the European (ECMWF) reflect this scenario. But a National Weather Service forecaster had this to say Friday morning from Miami: “By the middle of next week, the GFS and ECMWF show a deep-layered trough moving westward in the western Atlantic between Bermuda and the southeast U.S. coast.

“The GFS had it moving a little faster and closer to Florida compared to yesterday`s 12Z ECMWF. If the GFS were to be correct, then it would enhance moisture, along with widespread showers and storms around day seven.

“However, at this time, my thinking is to lean more with the ECMWF, which is also in line with the latest WPC [Weather Prediction Center] forecast chart for Thursday of next week, which depicts a trough well offshore the southeastern U.S., farther from Florida.”

The National Hurricane Center is forecasting no tropical development through July 4.

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Author: jnelander

Freelance writer and editor

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