Ex-tropical depression forecast to bring late week rainfall to Florida peninsula

Caribbean SAT

Monday’s Caribbean satellite image shows ex-Tropical Depression Four edging west north of Puerto Rico. Late morning, the NHC re-posted its floater page on the system, and was reportedly monitoring it for possible regeneration. It was moving into an area of much lower wind shear. (Credit: NOAA)

Some decent rains are expected Thursday and Friday from around North-Central Florida all the way down to the Keys as the remnants of Tropical Depression Four slide in from the Bahamas, the National Weather Service says.

Forecasters bumped up rain chances on Thursday to around 60 percent. Don’t expect a deluge, but there should be “numerous showers with embedded thunderstorms, some likely heavy, through the day Thursday and possibly lingering into Friday,” the NWS said in its Monday analysis from Miami.

Central Florida rain chances will be in the 40-50 percent range, forecasters in Melbourne said.

The former depression showed bursts of convection all weekend, but its efforts to regenerate have been shot down by dry air and wind shear.

It was a wet Monday morning from around Fort Lauderdale down to the Keys, but as usual, afternoon activity is expected to be focused on the peninsula’s interior and West Coast.

That was the scenario on Sunday, too, as Naples was socked by 2.99 inches early in the afternoon — breaking a 57-year-old rainfall record for July 9. The previous mark was 2.03 inches in 1960. Just up the coast, though, Fort Myers reported only a trace of rain.

East Coast metro areas were mostly dry.

RECORD WATCH: Miami’s low on Sunday was 82, tying the mark for warmest low temperature  for the date, set in 2004.


National Hurricane Center forecasters are watching a new tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic. (Credit: NHC)

TROPICS TALK: A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic was given a 20 percent chance of developing into a depression or named storm by the end of the week as it moves due west toward the Windward Islands. The GFS is still the only model that has been enthusiastic about the development of this wave, which may come too close to the coast of northern South America to actually spin up.


Author: jnelander

Freelance writer and editor

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