There’s a 20 percent chance of a disturbance developing into a depression or tropical storm off the Yucatan by Sunday, forecasters say. (Credit: NHC)
Forecast models have been predicting tropical development off the Yucatan Peninsula for the past few days — and now the National Hurricane Center is watching the area closely.
The agency said in its Tropical Weather Outlook Tuesday that whatever develops — if anything — will move northwest over the peninsula and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. A tropical depression — or the second named storm of the Atlantic season, Bret — could form over the Bay of Campeche early next week.
The northwestern Caribbean and the southern Gulf of Mexico are typical areas for tropical development in June.
Not so typical for June is development in the tropical Atlantic. That’s something that normally begins to occur in late July or early August, with the start of the Cape Verde season.
There have been several tropical waves over the past week lined up to roll off the coast of Africa, however, including a robust wave that showed up on satellite in the far eastern Atlantic.
Here’s what it looked like on Tuesday afternoon:
A very healthy tropical wave was in the far eastern Atlantic on Tuesday. (Credit: NOAA)