An area of low pressure forming in the southern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday could become the 2016 hurricane season’s 15th named storm. (Credit: NOAA)
With just two weeks left in the official hurricane season, the Caribbean is trying to spin up one more storm — a system that could meander near the Central American coast as Thanksgiving approaches.
There were signs of organization already on Tuesday, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center in Miami upped chances of development to 80 percent by the weekend.
What eventually happens to this low — which would be named Tropical Storm Otto if it can brew up sustained winds of at least 39 mph — is unclear, with forecast models all over the board. Some show it remaining nearly stationary for several days before jogging west and running into Central America.
The last year with this kind of late-season development was 2013, when Tropical Storm Melissa formed southeast of Bermuda on Nov. 18 and peaked with 65 mph winds. That was followed up by an unnamed subtropical storm on Dec. 5, which the NHC discovered in its post-season analysis.
Forecast tracks for Invest 90L. (Credit: SFWMD)
Time to break out the sweaters and jackets!
How does this sound for a temperature next Monday: 72 degrees. Yes, that’s the forecast high in West Palm Beach, not the low.
The cold front that sagged through South Florida on Monday brought cooler air and couple of spotty showers, and forecast highs this week are in the upper 70s. But then another weekend cold front blows through South Florida, driving coastal lows down to near 60.
Sunday’s foreast high is 73; 72 on Monday.
Near Lake Okeechobee, lows Sunday night should be in the mid-40s, and upper 30s are expected in North Florida.
It now looks like the second half of November will be cooler than normal through the Florida peninsula, with drier than normal conditions holding on into December. That’s according to the latest forecasts by the Climate Prediction Center.
NOAA is still predicting a warm and dry winter in Florida due to La Niña in the Pacific. The agency’s updated winter forecast will be posted on Thursday.
AccuWeather says the Florida cold snap will be short-lived, though, with highs returning to the low 80s for Thanksgiving.