A full moon and its closest approach to Earth add up to a flood advisory for Florida’s East Coast. Above-normal tides are expected through at least mid-week, according to meteorologist Arlena Moses at the National Weather Service in Miami.
The advisory runs through 4 p.m. Wednesday, but the event should peak Tuesday and Wednesday. Watch for road closures and flooding of roads.
Several vulnerable areas around South Florida are generally at risk for this type of flooding, including the west side of Miami Beach, Fort Lauderdale Beach and Palm Beach, where the Lake Trail on the island’s west side is often under water.
Also, sections of Flagler Drive in West Palm Beach, from Southern Boulevard north to downtown, may be flooded due to water backing in from the Intracoastal.
Central Florida, meanwhile, was dealing with heavy fog Sunday morning with visibility of less than a quarter of a mile from Titusville west into Orlando and north to Daytona Beach.
The National Hurricane Center is watching an area in the southern Caribbean for development. (Credit: NHC)
A parting shot from the 2016 hurricane season may arrive just in time for the Thanksgiving holiday week, as a low in the southern Caribbean and spins north or northeast.
That’s the scenario described by the ECMWF, which predicts that a tropical storm or hurricane could be just south of Jamaica a day or two before Thanksgiving.
The GFS has shown similar forecasts, but Sunday’s early run instead backs the low into Central America.
The Canadian model (CMC) cranks the low up next Friday, drags it up over Jamaica on Monday and Tuesday of Thanksgiving week, and then sends it toward Haiti — in the same spot ravaged by Hurricane Matthew in October.
The Navy model (NAVGEM) forecasts a broad low approaching Jamaica next weekend.
There’s no indication that it will have any impacts on Florida, as models seem to agree on a track to the northeast or east-northeast once it gets past the Greater Antilles.
The National Hurricane Center is giving the area a 60 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression — or Tropical Storm Otto — late this week as it drifts toward the north or northeast.