Cold front delivers weekend rains; another look at the tropics

It’s been a wet November weekend along Florida’s East Coast as a weak cold front meandered down the peninsula before stalling out in the Keys.

The front didn’t bring much cool air though as winds swung quickly around to the northeast, bringing in muggy air off the Atlantic. Most East Coast areas bottomed out in the mid-70s Sunday morning.

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Saturday’s rain was focused on Florida’s East Coast, but a few light showers on Sunday may penetrated farther inland as winds pick up, according to the National Weather Service. (Credit: SFWMD)

A few more showers may sweep across the peninsula as winds pick up once again out of the east-northeast, according to the National Weather Service.

SATURDAY RAINFALL TOTALS: West Palm Beach, 0.72 of an inch; Miami, 0.43; Fort Lauderdale, 0.34; Pompano Beach, 0.16; Palm Beach Shores, 0.69 (Community Collaborative Rain, Hail & Snow Network 24 hour total); Stuart, 0.26; and Vero Beach, 0.11.

The Keys were mostly dry but Key Largo picked up about a quarter of an inch.

East Coast areas should see near-normal rainfall amounts — but above-normal temperatures — as the first week of the month winds down on Monday.

But with forecast highs only in the upper 70s this week, it looks like a genuine autumn cool-down has begun.

*

TROPICS TALK: Climatology suggests that 2016 still has one named tropical or subtropical system up its sleeve, but November has looked dead quiet in the Atlantic.

Sunday’s model runs — led by the GFS — were once again picking up on development in the Caribbean the weekend before Thanksgiving.

The GFS is notorious for posting long-range storms and then dropping them. But its forecast for a system approaching Central Cuba and then moving into the Bahamas around the 18th-20th is reflected by the long-range European model (ECMWF) and the Canadian (CMC).

Two of the last five hurricane seasons (2011-2015) have ended without a November storm, most recently 2014.

Officially, the National Hurricane Center forecast shows no tropical systems likely to develop through at least Friday.

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Author: jnelander

Freelance writer and editor

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