This was a typical scene up and down Florida’s East Coast this weekend as the highest tides of the season, aggravated by heavy rain in some places, caused street flooding. More flooding was likely Monday. Note that a lot of this is salt water. (Image credit: William Churchill/ NWS-Key West)
More on the East Coast forecast: Rain, wind, etc. etc. etc. (Image credit: NWS-Melbourne)
The meandering system in the Central Atlantic crawled to a stop southeast of Bermuda on Monday morning and became Tropical Depression 27 [UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM EPSILON AT 1 1 A.M.] Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center predicted it would become Tropical Storm Epsilon later today and would strengthen into a hurricane by Thursday morning as it moves generally northwest. It may swipe Bermuda as a hurricane early Friday morning.
Forecasters said it would likely top out as an 85-mph Category 1 hurricane by the end of the week.
There is another disturbance in the Bahamas that was dishing out copious rainfall amounts to parts of South and Central Florida.
Torrential rains were moving onshore from the Atlantic into South Florida and were adding to an already dicey situation at the coast due to the highest tides of the season. A Coastal Flood Advisory was in effect until 8 p.m.
The area it was not on the NHC’s radar as wind shear was at a high 30-40 knots. Shear was forecast to increase over the next 24 hours in the western Bahamas and South Florida.
There was still some potential for a disturbance in the western Caribbean to get started, although development chances edged down to 20 percent over the next five days. There, wind shear Monday morning was at a more accommodative 10-15 knots.
The early morning run of the GFS dropped the idea of a system in the western Caribbean later this week. The European (ECMWF) is clear the rest of the week, while the early morning run of the GFS Parallel still showed a low forming Friday west of Jamaica, which rolls over Cuba and into the Central Bahamas early next week.
National Weather Service forecasters in Miami said a front may stall over North Florida as we head toward the weekend, and that “higher than normal uncertainty” exists for next weekend’s forecast.
RECORD WATCH: The low in Fort Lauderdale Sunday was a balmy 81, which busted a record warm low of 80 set just last year. Miami’s low was 79, tying a record low set 92 years ago in 1928.
Up the coast in Melbourne, the low was 78, breaking a record warm low of 76 set two years ago. Vero Beach broke a record with 77, beating the record of 76 set in 2016; ditto for Fort Pierce.