(Image credit: NHC)
TROPICS WATCH: Tropical Depression 11 was struggling in the Central Atlantic on Wednesday, but forecasters at the National Hurricane Center predicted that the low would soon be under a very low wind shear environment that will cause it to strengthen into a 60 mph tropical storm by Friday, as it approaches the northeast corner of the Lesser Antilles.
The NHC forecast has it missing the islands, though, and turning more northwest after the weekend, well east of the Bahamas.
The system looks like it’s no threat to Florida, although a couple of forecast models, including the Canadian (CMC) suggest that the storm could make it all the way to the northwestern Bahamas.
Forecast models aren’t showing much of anything else spinning up over the next week to 10 days — up to two weeks for the GFS. But forecasters say environmental conditions will become more favorable for tropical development in the Atlantic after August 20.
More rain — and possible flooding — was in the forecast for Jacksonville and northeastern Florida. (Image credit: NWS-Jacksonville)
Northeast Florida is where all of the precipitation action has been this week. On Tuesday, an observer just south of Jacksonville reported 2.72 inches — just a day after Jacksonville officially (via National Weather Service) busted a 126-year-old rainfall record with 3.50 inches.
Just south of the Georgia State Line in Jefferson County, a CoCoRaHS observer near Monticello reported 2.62 inches.
There were a few other locations that picked up heavy rain on Tuesday. But as is typical in Florida this time of the year, a location that reported 2-3 inches might be only a few miles from a spot that received no rain at all.
Elsewhere in Florida CoCoRaHS observers reported around 3 inches of rain in the Plant City area, Hillsborough County. In Orange County northeast of Orlando, an observer checked in with 2.30 inches. In the far western panhandle, an observer in Escambia County reported 2.28 inches.