The new long-range forecast issued Friday is for drier conditions to kick off July. (Image credit: NOAA/ CPC)
With the exception of the Keys, locations around the Florida peninsula have been running fairly hefty precipitation surpluses in June, despite a dry start to the month. Two other exceptions are Vero Beach, which was down about a half-inch on Friday, and West Palm Beach, which had a slight rainfall deficit.
Naples picked up lost ground on Friday after a 1.76-inch shellacking.
Precipitation has been a little more spotty on the West Coast, in fact. Tampa has an impressive rainfall surplus of 2.83 inches, but Fort Myers is down 1.84 inches for the month.
In the North, both Jacksonville and Gainesville are on the plus side. (Tallahassee has a precip deficit of just under an inch, despite a wet week in the panhandle.)
But NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting a U-turn, with below normal rainfall in Florida for the final month of June, and the first half of July. In fact, the new week three and four precipitation forecast suggests dry conditions through the entire tier of southern states, from New Mexico east to the Carolinas and up into southern New England.
A drier July is par for the course in Florida, but rainfall normally rises as we move into September.
JUST ANOTHER DAY (FINALLY): Friday was only the second day this month that Marathon didn’t post a record temperature, either a record high or a record warm low, or both. The average high in June through the 14th was 95.6 degrees, with an average low of 84.1. Marathon had three days in a row — June 8, 9, and 10 — in which the low was only 86, the warmest low ever recorded for the month.
That also tied the all-time record warm low previously recorded in July, August and September.
The official all-time record warm low for the Keys is 87, which occurred on multiple occasions in July and August in Key West.
Friday’s low in Marathon was 76, the coolest of the month and the first low in the 70s for city since May 28. One reason: Marathon received 1.06 inches of rain, the first precipitation of the month. The city still has a shortfall of 1.31 inches.
Key West has measured just 0.13 of an inch in June through Friday, a precipitation shortfall of 1.82 inches. Most of that fell on Friday — 0.12 of an inch, the heftiest total since May 16.
It’s always worth noting that although records in Key West go all the way back to 1872, Marathon records only go back to 1950.